An Effective Method Based on Dynamic Sampling for Data Assimilation in a Global Wave Model

2017年4月1日·
Meng Sun
尹训强
尹训强
Corresponding
,
Yongzeng Yang
,
Kejian Wu
· 0 分钟阅读时长
Image credit: Meng Sun
摘要
The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) performs well because that the covariance of background error is varying along time. It provides a dynamic estimate of background error and represents the reasonable statistic characters of background error. However, high computational cost due to model ensemble in EnKF is employed. In this study, two methods referred as static and dynamic sampling methods are proposed to obtain a good performance and reduce the computation cost. Ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF) method is used in a global surface wave model to examine the performance of EnKF. The 24-h interval difference of simulated significant wave height (SWH) within 1 year is used to compose the static samples for ensemble errors, and these errors are used to construct the ensemble states at each time the observations are available. And then, the same method of updating the model states in the EAKF is applied for the ensemble states constructed by a static sampling method. The dynamic sampling method employs a similar method to construct the ensemble states, but the period of the simulated SWH is changing with time. Here, 7 days before and after the observation time is used as this period. To examine the performance of three schemes, EAKF, static, or dynamic sampling method, observations from satellite Jason-2 in 2014 are assimilated into a global wave model, and observations from satellite Saral are used for validation. The results indicate that the EAKF performs best, while the static sampling method is relatively worse. The dynamic sampling method improves an assimilation effect dramatically compared to the static sampling method, and its overall performance is closed to the EAKF. In low latitudes, the dynamic sampling method has a slight advantage over the EAKF. In the dynamic or static sampling methods, only one wave model is required to run and their computational cost is reduced sharply. According to the performance of these three methods, the dynamic sampling method can treated as an effective alternative of EnKF, which could reduce the computational cost and provide a good performance of data assimilation.
类型
出版物
Ocean Dynamics
publications
Authors
尹训强
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副研究员
主要致力于海洋数值模拟与数据同化研究,在国内外杂志上发表文章60余篇,承担了国家基金项目、国家973课题、公益性行业专项课题和重点研发计划等多项研究任务。近年来,在多变量联合同化调整和高效并行计算等研究方面取得重要成果,发展了海洋全要素高效并行数据同化系统,有效提高了海洋预报能力和气候预测水平,发布了我国首套全球高分辨率再分析数据。基于Kalman滤波原理,通过变量间的协方差表征海洋动力学特征以及多种影响因素之间的相互作用,有效利用观测信息优化其周围网的各种变量,实现多变量联合同化调整。作为核心成员,突破了负载近绝对均衡、主从核协同计算框架设计和循环折叠流水线等若干关键技术,为海洋数值预报系统建设提供了技术支撑。据此研发了海洋全要素高效并行数据同化系统,已成功应用到21世纪海上丝绸之路海洋环境预报、第二代海洋环境保障等多个预报系统,并支撑了气候预测和观测设计优化等研究的开展。
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